You heard of james cordier? I bet he had high conviction in his short Natgas trade aswell. Until his entire hedge fund and the accounts of his 290 clients got wiped out. Judging from his update video on youtube I would not be surprised if he commited suicide afterwards.
Conviction gets people killed on the market. It’s always tempting especially when you got some serious experience. But the market is just brutal so you have to brutally control the risk.
Btw you can potentially scale the strategy up to better meet your risk criteria. Contact the support for more info if you feel like changing.