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System development ideas


#22

Actually none of my systems have any predictive value. They are all more reactive than predictive.
Any ideas to add for predictive behaviour? :slight_smile:


#23

I think product in focus makes a lot of difference. or lets say product behaviour in focus.


#24

have read that - but revisiting wont be a bad idea

Btw any amibroker developers here?


#25

Most good system will last 5+ yrs. bull market and bear market. But this problem with everyone is expectation. If you subscribe to a strategy, showing up 100%+ annualized return. Better expect a 50% draw down can come any time. Even tomorrow! If you subscriber to a system that is up 50% annualized, you better expect to see a 25% drawdown. It could happen as soon as you subscribe.

I mean these things happen to good systems. If you can’t handle a 25% draw down. Don’t subscribe to any system has an annualized return greater than 25%.


#26

Any ideas to add for predictive behaviour? :slight_smile:

If I provide ideas I might have to shoot you afterwards…hahaha! (just kidding)

On a more serious note, try looking for patterns of behaviour or chart patterns that re occur over and over. Also you might try hedging methods to hedge against a bad trade as you know not all trades will win.