I updated the forward test. Sometimes it is difficult to decide exactly what to include because some strategies shut down with open positions. Or they may have a really smooth curve experience massive drop subscribers seem to quite, then they take a big bet and recover. However, subscribers tend to not come back then the strategies close. Items like this and others make it difficult to fully grasp the significance of the results without looking pretty deep at each strategy included. This difficulty in my opinion is amplified with the C2 Star leaderboard. I say that because the strategy was on that particular leaderboard because of its stability. When leaders lose their certification or subscribers and start taking huge bets things get unrealistic fast.
C2 Star Examples of Wild Behavior post losing C2Star status:
Naturally it is difficult to decide what to include. In the first table I have included every trade. In the second table I also included every single trade except for the last one on the strategy future which appeared to occur after the C2 Star certification/subs were lost and the leader just left a huge position open etc. The third table shows each strategy result and a link to the details. If you click on a strategy link and it is private, in the url replace the word details with performance to see a chart of the strategy.
| 6/16/2020 to 9/12/2020 |
9/12/2020 to 5/24/2021 |
5/24/2021 to 7/30/2023 |
6/16/2020 to 7/30/2023 |
9/12/2020 to 7/30/2023 |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Popularity 15 | -1.0% | 4.92% | 20.34% | 25% | 26% |
| TOS 15 | Not Available | 22.30% | -6.18% | Not Available | 15% |
| IRA 15 | 8.6% | 33.99% | 14.04% | 66% | 53% |
| C2 Star 15 | 1.4% | -5.83% | 36.91% | 31% | 29% |
| Old-Timers 15 | 10.0% | 19.75% | -12.25% | 16% | 5% |
| SPY with DRIP | 7.2% | 26.93% | 12.73% | 53% | 43% |
| Years | 0.24 | 0.70 | 2.18 | 3.12 | 2.88 |
| 6/16/2020 to 9/12/2020 |
9/12/2020 to 5/24/2021 |
5/24/2021 to 7/30/2023 |
6/16/2020 to 7/30/2023 |
9/12/2020 to 7/30/2023 |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Popularity 15 | -1.0% | 4.92% | 20.34% | 25% | 26% |
| TOS 15 | Not Available | 22.30% | -6.18% | Not Available | 15% |
| IRA 15 | 8.6% | 33.99% | 14.04% | 66% | 53% |
| C2 Star *15 | 1.4% | -5.83% | 5.04% | 0% | -1% |
| Old-Timers 15 | 10.0% | 19.75% | -12.25% | 16% | 5% |
| SPY with DRIP | 7.2% | 26.93% | 12.73% | 53% | 43% |
| Years | 0.24 | 0.70 | 2.18 | 3.12 | 2.88 |
| *Excluding the last month of strategy ID 134255388 due to its likely closure. |
| Board Category | Order | Start | End | Start $ | End $ | Return % | Link to Strategy | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Popularity | 1 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $62,515 | $92,944 | 48.67% | https://collective2.com/details/128265049 | |
| Popularity | 2 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $120,000 | $112,000 | -6.67% | https://collective2.com/details/132622706 | |
| Popularity | 3 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $62,000 | $85,000 | 37.10% | Collective2 | |
| Popularity | 4 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $61,227 | $135,500 | 121.31% | https://collective2.com/details/125624499 | |
| Popularity | 5 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $310,000 | $360,000 | 16.13% | https://collective2.com/details/126454200 | |
| Popularity | 6 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $36,428 | $35,000 | -3.92% | Algebra Crypto Fund | |
| Popularity | 7 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $53,000 | $83,000 | 56.60% | AI TQQQ only swing | |
| Popularity | 8 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $130,700 | $84,000 | -35.73% | The Lab | |
| Popularity | 9 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $120,000 | $120,000 | 0.00% | https://collective2.com/details/130453775 | |
| Popularity | 10 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $42,400 | $38,700 | -8.73% | https://collective2.com/details/124978054 | |
| Popularity | 11 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $23,200 | $27,800 | 19.83% | https://collective2.com/details/129373845 | |
| Popularity | 12 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $95,000 | $76,000 | -20.00% | https://collective2.com/details/132007449 | |
| Popularity | 13 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $36,400 | $67,000 | 84.07% | https://collective2.com/details/132148218 | |
| Popularity | 14 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $77,600 | $75,745 | -2.39% | Trade2Short | |
| Popularity | 15 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $179,500 | $177,360 | -1.19% | https://collective2.com/details/123231599 | |
| TOS | 1 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $62,515 | $92,944 | 48.67% | https://collective2.com/details/128265049 | |
| TOS | 2 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $53,036 | $83,107 | 56.70% | https://collective2.com/details/131561344 | |
| TOS | 3 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $148,595 | $146,985 | -1.08% | https://collective2.com/details/123937705 | |
| TOS | 4 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $68,948 | $65,000 | -5.73% | https://collective2.com/details/126548162 | |
| TOS | 5 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $92,891 | $75,000 | -19.26% | https://collective2.com/details/130576078 | |
| TOS | 6 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $81,618 | $48,545 | -40.52% | https://collective2.com/details/131612959 | |
| TOS | 7 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $22,000 | $21,828 | -0.78% | https://collective2.com/details/132146405 | |
| TOS | 8 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $225,000 | $190,000 | -15.56% | https://collective2.com/details/117442067 | |
| TOS | 9 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $119,800 | $78,910 | -34.13% | https://collective2.com/details/127924250 | |
| TOS | 10 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $35,800 | $628 | -98.25% | https://collective2.com/details/128022277 | |
| TOS | 11 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $183,000 | $178,000 | -2.73% | https://collective2.com/details/102427283 | |
| TOS | 12 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $498,000 | $130,000 | -73.90% | https://collective2.com/details/87581363 | |
| TOS | 13 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $59,000 | $114,000 | 93.22% | https://collective2.com/details/127841340 | |
| TOS | 14 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $536,000 | $610,000 | 13.81% | ALPS 1 | |
| TOS | 15 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $23,000 | $19,975 | -13.15% | https://collective2.com/details/130482646 | |
| IRA | 1 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $62,500 | $92,900 | 48.64% | https://collective2.com/details/128265049 | |
| IRA | 2 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $53,000 | $83,107 | 56.81% | https://collective2.com/details/131561344 | |
| IRA | 3 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $42,442 | $38,700 | -8.82% | https://collective2.com/details/124978054 | |
| IRA | 4 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $23,090 | $27,864 | 20.68% | https://collective2.com/details/129373845 | |
| IRA | 5 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $178,894 | $177,360 | -0.86% | https://collective2.com/details/123231599 | |
| IRA | 6 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $117,000 | $112,200 | -4.10% | https://collective2.com/details/130018805 | |
| IRA | 7 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $67,000 | $71,780 | 7.13% | https://collective2.com/details/132165642 | |
| IRA | 8 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $101,500 | $70,220 | -30.82% | https://collective2.com/details/126444124 | |
| IRA | 9 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $37,888 | $99,200 | 161.82% | JC Alpha | |
| IRA | 10 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $77,000 | $67,500 | -12.34% | https://collective2.com/details/132385285 | |
| IRA | 11 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $68,948 | $65,051 | -5.65% | https://collective2.com/details/126548162 | |
| IRA | 12 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $97,080 | $70,500 | -27.38% | https://collective2.com/details/123007535 | |
| IRA | 13 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $548,400 | $591,000 | 7.77% | https://collective2.com/details/126054331 | |
| IRA | 14 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $53,068 | $52,500 | -1.07% | https://collective2.com/details/131972338 | |
| IRA | 15 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $42,910 | $42,362 | -1.28% | https://collective2.com/details/124994120 | |
| C2 Star | 1 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $26,000 | $74,925 | 188.17% | https://collective2.com/details/134255487 | Most of return would have happened after C2 Star status lost. |
| C2 Star | 2 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $47,500 | $74,951 | 57.79% | https://collective2.com/details/134255352 | Most of return would have happened after C2 Star status lost. |
| C2 Star | 3 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $51,000 | $39,500 | -22.55% | https://collective2.com/details/135324998 | |
| C2 Star | 4 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $46,400 | $266,000 | 473.28% | https://collective2.com/details/134255388 | |
| C2 Star | 5 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $52,582 | $55,282 | 5.13% | https://collective2.com/details/135204864 | |
| C2 Star | 6 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $23,123 | -$1,011 | -104.37% | https://collective2.com/details/135662488 | Huge drop |
| C2 Star | 7 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $52,005 | $51,540 | -0.89% | https://collective2.com/details/135117731 | |
| C2 Star | 8 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $32,300 | $53,997 | 67.17% | https://collective2.com/details/135656292 | |
| C2 Star | 9 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $51,057 | $48,169 | -5.66% | https://collective2.com/details/134260510 | |
| C2 Star | 10 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $35,000 | $54,336 | 55.25% | https://collective2.com/details/135638383 | huge drawdown |
| C2 Star | 11 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $47,870 | $48,483 | 1.28% | https://collective2.com/details/134370531 | |
| C2 Star | 12 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $45,044 | $42,871 | -4.82% | https://collective2.com/details/135282700 | |
| C2 Star | 13 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $30,000 | -$12,000 | -140.00% | https://collective2.com/details/135662477 | |
| C2 Star | 14 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $54,600 | $69,500 | 27.29% | https://collective2.com/details/132920574 | |
| C2 Star | 15 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $51,445 | $29,129 | -43.38% | https://collective2.com/details/131741853 | |
| Old Timers | 1 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $598,000 | $799,777 | 33.74% | https://collective2.com/details/75800796 | |
| Old Timers | 2 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $200,000 | $200,000 | 0.00% | https://collective2.com/details/117442067 | |
| Old Timers | 3 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $177,000 | $178,000 | 0.56% | https://collective2.com/details/102427283 | |
| Old Timers | 4 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $301,600 | $188,000 | -37.67% | https://collective2.com/details/100314882 | |
| Old Timers | 5 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $120,000 | $95,000 | -20.83% | https://collective2.com/details/115424989 | |
| Old Timers | 6 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $53,800 | $63,574 | 18.17% | https://collective2.com/details/13202557 | |
| Old Timers | 7 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $49,772 | $47,578 | -4.41% | https://collective2.com/details/85633603 | |
| Old Timers | 8 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $80,000 | $75,000 | -6.25% | https://collective2.com/details/106901765 | |
| Old Timers | 9 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $485,000 | $148,000 | -69.48% | https://collective2.com/details/87581363 | wild one |
| Old Timers | 10 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $100,000 | $90,000 | -10.00% | https://collective2.com/details/106600099 | |
| Old Timers | 11 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $249,505 | $153,700 | -38.40% | https://collective2.com/details/100707640 | |
| Old Timers | 12 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $53,791 | $52,252 | -2.86% | https://collective2.com/details/107529017 | |
| Old Timers | 13 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $36,158 | $40,828 | 12.92% | https://collective2.com/details/111648302 | |
| Old Timers | 14 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $66,966 | $61,571 | -8.06% | https://collective2.com/details/106187009 | |
| Old Timers | 15 | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $77,828 | $37,978 | -51.20% | https://collective2.com/details/106804598 | |
| SPY | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $419 | $457 | 9.01% | |||
| SPY w dividends | 5/24/2021 | 7/30/2023 | $405 | $457 | 12.73% |
