Discussion for: Leader Board Performance vs. Market

Edit: This strategy is now #1 on the Leader Board. Something has to be off.

1 Like

I was just interested in how it was going so I did a run. These are the results of SPY vs the leaderboard from the first day I logged it until now. Who knows what the long term holdsā€¦

Start Chicago Time End Chicago Time Average Return
SPY 6/15 20:27 7/7 14:01 2.57%
Leader Board (No Rebalance) 6/15 20:27 7/7 14:01 2.39%
4 Likes
Start Chicago Time End Chicago Time Average Return
SPY 6/15 20:27 7/9 11:01 2.00%
Leader Board (No Rebalance) 6/15 20:27 7/9 11:01 2.27%
IRA (No Rebalance) 6/16 12:03 7/9 10:00 4.85%
Old Timers (No Rebalance) 6/16 12:34 7/9 10:29 3.33%
C2 Star (No Reblance) 6/16 11:59 7/9 10:42 -0.17%

These are the results of the strategies that were on those leaderboards on June 16th. On June 20th I posted lists of those strategies here.

3 Likes

If the strategies, like those pictured below, have a half grey star that means the manager isnā€™t going to get the $1,000 guaranteed by C2. Is that how others interpret this? As of right now there are zero certified strategies. It seems like whenever I look there is never more than a handful that are certified for any period of time.

(Of course if they have subscribers they will get paid for that.)

1 Like

This is like a roulette bet that the house usually wins.

2 Likes

I believe the conditions to stay certified are very hard to maintain. ie a 5% rolling drawdown and also there is minimum capital utilization so it prevents low size trading.

It would be nice to have those criteria less strict but thats the way it is so I doubt there will be many c2stars that stay certified for long.

As @ETFCapital has mentioned its not a good bet.

When it comes to C2Star strategies, there are two ways a strategy can ā€œviolateā€ program conditions.

One way is to violate risk or loss constraints. (i.e. to lose more than $X dollars over T time).

If you violate risk/loss constraints, you are removed completely from the program, completely. There is no way to restore a strategy back into the program once it violates risk/loss constraints.

But there is a second way you can not meet C2 Star requirements. If you do not outperform the SP500 over a rolling-time basis, you are not fully complying with C2Star. In this case, you are not kicked out of the program. You simply get pushed back into ā€œevaluationā€ mode. (Thatā€™s the half-star icon you see.) The point is, since the performance window is rolling, you can eventually once again outperform the SP500 over a 60-day period, and restore full C2Star certification. In the meantime, you still need to comply with risk and loss control provisions.

Itā€™s easy to see why so many C2Star strategies are not exceeding the SP500 at this particular moment. Itā€™s because, since post-Pandemic lows, the stock market has been rising insanely fast.

I am not sure this is a problem with the C2Star program. In fact, it may be a feature. Strategies in evaluation mode (i.e. that ā€œhalf-starā€ icon) are still required to generate alpha, with muted risk and drawdown.

When the broader stock market returns to earth, either with a crash or a gentle descent, my hope is that C2Star strategies will prove their value.

5 Likes

That is helpful. I am still a bit uncertain on the 60 day window for outperforming by 1%.

Do you have to met that every day within the last billing period or only on one day each billing period when payment is determined?

For example, if for every rolling 60 day period ending in July the strategy outperformed the S&P by 1% and was positive except for one 60 day period ending say July 10th, would the manager get paid? Of course that is assuming that all the other metrics are met.

The manager gets paid on a pro-rated basis for the number of days he or she is fully certified. So, to take the simplest example, if the manager has achieved C2Star certification for a full 30.5 days, he is guaranteed to take home $1,000 in after-fee income, guaranteed by C2.

2 Likes

Seems like a nice way to do it. Thank you for the clarification.

Okay I think I may just track the top 15 of each of the 4 leader boards I started tracking. It just takes a lot of time to check each one manually. If anyone wants to do more the data is available here.

Name Return
SPY 2.98%
C2 Star -0.73%
Popular -0.78%
Old Timers 4.79%
IRA Friendly 6.43%

Strategies were selected on 6/16/2020 and monitored through to 7/25/2020. There was no re-balancing of the strategies.

It is obviously too early to tell the long term results but that is pretty interesting start.

  • Full disclosure I run an IRA friendly strategy myself, but donā€™t want to directly market my strategy, which is why I am posting under this unrelated account. I just honestly believe that in the long run futures and forex strategies are prone to using too much leverage and shooting themselves in the foot.
2 Likes

It has been approximately 3 months since I started tracking the top 15 strategies on various leader boards. I am now re-balancing this hypothetical portfolio. Below is a table for the summary of results for the first 3 months of results. Also below is a table with the details of this last 3 months and a table declaring what strategies I will be tracking for the next three month period.

% Return
POPULARITY 15 -0.97%
C2 Star 15 1.41%
IRA 15 8.63%
OLD TIMERS 15 9.98%
SPY 6.74%
SPY w/ Dividends 7.21%

Please let me know if you have any thoughts comments or suggestions. Definitely let me know if you spot any errors. I think if the results continue in a similar patter, C2 should consider putting more focus on Old Timers and IRA friendly strategies. Also, if there is any way C2 could develop a plan that would allow subscribers to spread smaller accounts across a basket of strategies such as old timers or IRA friendly would be very interesting. Say I have only $30,000 available to allocate to C2. I would much rather distribute $2,000 to each of the top 15 Old Timer strategies for a reasonable fee than pay $100 or so to each of the 15 strategies. I realize there are plenty of limitations such as no asset under management fee etc. So there may be no way to do such a thing, but if there was a way to implement such a program I think it could be very popular. Perhaps too popular for too little money though. I have no idea.

Board Category Order Start End Start $ End $ Return % Link to Strategy
IRA 1 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $106,076 $121,262 14.32% https://collective2.com/details/123937705
IRA 2 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $31,806 $34,674 9.02% https://collective2.com/details/125401215
IRA 3 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $21,376 $22,205 3.88% https://collective2.com/details/106004078
IRA 4 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $80,438 $92,204 14.63% https://collective2.com/details/106804598
IRA 5 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $83,706 $90,028 7.55% https://collective2.com/details/123261809
IRA 6 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $64,180 $72,708 13.29% https://collective2.com/details/106187009
IRA 7 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $331,988 $416,370 25.42% https://collective2.com/details/126054331
IRA 8 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $38,227 $48,099 25.82% https://collective2.com/details/107529017
IRA 9 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $58,844 $53,697 -8.75% https://collective2.com/details/77331265
IRA 10 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $13,670 $14,610 6.88% https://collective2.com/details/124277653
IRA 11 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $32,459 $37,892 16.74% https://collective2.com/details/117734561
IRA 12 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $12,719 $11,740 -7.70% https://collective2.com/details/123152690
IRA 13 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $159,644 $154,515 -3.21% https://collective2.com/details/119193310
IRA 14 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $30,553 $32,456 6.23% https://collective2.com/details/124463618
IRA 15 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $29,193 $30,749 5.33% https://collective2.com/details/124994120
Old Timers 1 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $144,192 $150,607 4.45% https://collective2.com/details/102427283
Old Timers 2 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $69,588 $80,132 15.15% https://collective2.com/details/106901765
Old Timers 3 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $80,869 $95,716 18.36% https://collective2.com/details/106600099
Old Timers 4 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $21,376 $22,205 3.88% https://collective2.com/details/106004078
Old Timers 5 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $80,089 $92,204 15.13% https://collective2.com/details/106804598
Old Timers 6 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $108,634 $130,330 19.97% https://collective2.com/details/111648302
Old Timers 7 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $64,242 $72,670 13.12% https://collective2.com/details/106187009
Old Timers 8 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $38,227 $48,099 25.82% https://collective2.com/details/107529017
Old Timers 9 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $408,909 $392,825 -3.93% https://collective2.com/details/100707640
Old Timers 10 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $58,844 $53,697 -8.75% https://collective2.com/details/77331265
Old Timers 11 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $27,500 $28,000 1.82% https://collective2.com/details/77330504
Old Timers 12 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $498,305 $530,748 6.51% https://collective2.com/details/75800796
Old Timers 13 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $275,037 $276,927 0.69% https://collective2.com/details/77477692
Old Timers 14 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $239,000 $285,643 19.52% https://collective2.com/details/94025749
Old Timers 15 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $24,180 $28,517 17.94% https://collective2.com/details/104952602
Popularity 1 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $48,044 $47,960 -0.17% https://collective2.com/details/127328382
Popularity 2 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $45,403 $42,605 -6.16% https://collective2.com/details/127484605
Popularity 3 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $65,454 $65,588 0.20% https://collective2.com/details/126548162
Popularity 4 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $22,404 $21,702 -3.13% https://collective2.com/details/125587405
Popularity 5 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $50,125 $51,369 2.48% https://collective2.com/details/124283622
Popularity 6 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $45,589 $48,848 7.15% https://collective2.com/details/125624499
Popularity 7 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $55,151 $54,281 -1.58% https://collective2.com/details/123071731
Popularity 8 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $77,563 $78,697 1.46% https://collective2.com/details/123007535
Popularity 9 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $55,651 $49,199 -11.59% https://collective2.com/details/123472063
Popularity 10 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $172,589 $143,292 -16.98% https://collective2.com/details/117442067
Popularity 11 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $118,045 $107,448 -8.98% https://collective2.com/details/125206069
Popularity 12 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $36,730 $37,776 2.85% https://collective2.com/details/124332528
Popularity 13 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $143,890 $150,674 4.71% https://collective2.com/details/102427283
Popularity 14 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $49,429 $53,336 7.90% https://collective2.com/details/127108876
Popularity 15 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $66,256 $71,121 7.34% https://collective2.com/details/125284205
C2 Star 1 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $50,653 $53,387 5.40% https://collective2.com/details/128203378
C2 Star 2 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $46,799 $49,272 5.28% https://collective2.com/details/123562056
C2 Star 3 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $50,807 $51,215 0.80% https://collective2.com/details/123458321
C2 Star 4 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $49,429 $53,336 7.90% https://collective2.com/details/127108876
C2 Star 5 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $50,945 $68,432 34.33% https://collective2.com/details/128842482
C2 Star 6 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $46,059 $47,458 3.04% https://collective2.com/details/127124102
C2 Star 7 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $47,451 $47,960 1.07% https://collective2.com/details/127328382
C2 Star 8 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $51,947 $50,332 -3.11% https://collective2.com/details/127023995
C2 Star 9 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $47,500 $47,900 0.84% https://collective2.com/details/126079605
C2 Star 10 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $51,364 $40,927 -20.32% https://collective2.com/details/129347661
C2 Star 11 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $50,583 $51,331 1.48% https://collective2.com/details/128210434
C2 Star 12 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $55,811 $49,199 -11.85% https://collective2.com/details/123472063
C2 Star 13 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $51,161 $49,860 -2.54% https://collective2.com/details/129227408
C2 Star 14 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $50,125 $51,369 2.48% https://collective2.com/details/124283622
C2 Star 15 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $51,392 $49,489 -3.70% https://collective2.com/details/128042302
SPY 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $313 $334 6.74% https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPY/history?period1=1583971200&period2=1599868800&interval=1d&filter=history&frequency=1d
SPY w dividends 6/16/2020 9/12/2020 $312 $334 7.21% https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPY/history?period1=1583971200&period2=1599868800&interval=1d&filter=history&frequency=1d
Board Category Order Start End Start $ End $ Return % Link to Strategy
Popularity 1 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/128871252
Popularity 2 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/123909762
Popularity 3 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/106600099
Popularity 4 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/128265049
Popularity 5 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/106901765
Popularity 6 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/128743489
Popularity 7 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/126434247
Popularity 8 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/127124102
Popularity 9 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/128731010
Popularity 10 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/128843892
Popularity 11 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/125284205
Popularity 12 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/124283622
Popularity 13 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/127764619
Popularity 14 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/128210434
Popularity 15 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/123007535
TOS 1 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/123909762
TOS 2 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/128265049
TOS 3 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/126434247
TOS 4 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/128133665
TOS 5 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/128022277
TOS 6 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/127841340
TOS 7 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/123937705
TOS 8 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/128415506
TOS 9 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/129086277
TOS 10 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/129317332
TOS 11 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/129109805
TOS 12 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/102427283
TOS 13 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/117442067
TOS 14 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/126923746
TOS 15 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/124277653
IRA 1 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/126054331
IRA 2 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/123937705
IRA 3 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/106004078
IRA 4 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/107529017
IRA 5 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/117734561
IRA 6 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/124994120
IRA 7 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/77477692
IRA 8 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/124978054
IRA 9 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/123231599
IRA 10 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/124277653
IRA 11 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/124343595
IRA 12 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/120610209
IRA 13 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/77331265
IRA 14 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/105498828
IRA 15 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/104155140
C2 Star 1 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/128825624
C2 Star 2 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/130960459
C2 Star 3 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/125624499
C2 Star 4 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/130623196
C2 Star 5 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/128203378
C2 Star 6 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/130949672
C2 Star 7 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/127124102
C2 Star 8 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/126043352
C2 Star 9 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/130893898
C2 Star 10 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/129227408
C2 Star 11 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/123458321
C2 Star 12 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/130705804
C2 Star 13 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/131030893
C2 Star 14 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/128042302
C2 Star 15 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/130650608
Old Timers 1 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/106600099
Old Timers 2 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/106901765
Old Timers 3 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/106004078
Old Timers 4 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/81877382
Old Timers 5 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/104952602
Old Timers 6 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/107529017
Old Timers 7 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/111648302
Old Timers 8 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/102427283
Old Timers 9 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/77477692
Old Timers 10 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/100314882
Old Timers 11 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/100707640
Old Timers 12 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/77331265
Old Timers 13 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/87581363
Old Timers 14 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/105498828
Old Timers 15 9/12/2020 TBD TBD TBD TBD https://collective2.com/details/104155140
11 Likes

Incredibly interesting. Nice work.

2 Likes

Wow Dwight, Impressive. Thank you for sharing.

1 Like

@DogZebra_Investing and @RJV63 thank you. It means a lot. It is definitely more work than I originally intended. I am glad people are finding it as interesting as I am.

1 Like

Thank you so much for putting in the time to do this.

1 Like

C2ā€™s new scoring workbench may have some good solutions for this. However it may be missing a metric to build in for which leader board a strategy was on. For example, I ran this screen created by MatthewK. It shows strategies that are either fully or partially certified in the C2 star system. Since strategies 1-6 have a score of 1000 they were fully C2Star certified. There were many more that were half certified. Anyways YTD following those 6 strategies that were fully certified on January 6th resulted in a return of 17.89%. It is a very powerful and interesting tool to use.

https://collective2.com/scoring-workbench

2 Likes

I finally updated my forward test. Here are the summary of the results.

% Return 6/16/2020 to 5/24/2021
POPULARITY 15 3.9%
C2 Star 15 -4.5%
IRA 15 45.6%
OLD TIMERS 15 31.7%
TOS 15 Incomplete
SPY 33.9%
SPY w/ Dividends 36.1%
% Return 9/12/2020 to 5/24/2021
POPULARITY 15 4.9%
C2 Star 15 -5.8%
IRA 15 34.0%
OLD TIMERS 15 19.7%
TOS 15 22.3%
SPY 25.5%
SPY w/ Dividends 26.9%

Here is the completed table for this period of 9/12/2020 to 5/24/2021

Board Category Order Start End Start $ End $ Return % Link to Strategy
Popularity 1 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $79,111 $94,270 19.16% https://collective2.com/details/128871252
Popularity 2 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $104,804 $101,152 -3.48% https://collective2.com/details/123909762
Popularity 3 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $94,000 $84,793 -9.79% https://collective2.com/details/106600099
Popularity 4 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $56,540 $126,000 122.85% https://collective2.com/details/128265049
Popularity 5 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $80,132 $72,000 -10.15% https://collective2.com/details/106901765
Popularity 6 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $137,000 $187,000 36.50% https://collective2.com/details/128743489
Popularity 7 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $21,867 $22,972 5.05% https://collective2.com/details/126434247
Popularity 8 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $45 $0 -100.00% https://collective2.com/details/127124102
Popularity 9 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $81,328 $77,500 -4.71% https://collective2.com/details/128731010
Popularity 10 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $92,396 $96,102 4.01% https://collective2.com/details/128843892
Popularity 11 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $71,000 $66,682 -6.08% https://collective2.com/details/125284205
Popularity 12 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $44,000 $51,000 15.91% https://collective2.com/details/124283622
Popularity 13 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $86,000 $127,000 47.67% https://collective2.com/details/127764619
Popularity 14 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $50,000 $17,000 -66.00% https://collective2.com/details/128210434
Popularity 15 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $78,700 $96,700 22.87% https://collective2.com/details/123007535
TOS 1 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $104,800 $100,982 -3.64% https://collective2.com/details/123909762
TOS 2 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $56,540 $126,012 122.87% https://collective2.com/details/128265049
TOS 3 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $21,867 $22,972 5.05% https://collective2.com/details/126434247
TOS 4 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $101,286 $125,919 24.32% https://collective2.com/details/128133665
TOS 5 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $30,663 $35,372 15.36% https://collective2.com/details/128022277
TOS 6 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $44,542 $58,198 30.66% https://collective2.com/details/127841340
TOS 7 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $90,232 $146,600 62.47% https://collective2.com/details/123937705
TOS 8 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $380,000 $528,000 38.95% https://collective2.com/details/128415506
TOS 9 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $16,019 $13,147 -17.93% https://collective2.com/details/129086277
TOS 10 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $28,500 $29,000 1.75% https://collective2.com/details/129317332
TOS 11 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $41,557 $47,840 15.12% https://collective2.com/details/129109805
TOS 12 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $151,000 $175,500 16.23% https://collective2.com/details/102427283
TOS 13 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $143,000 $223,000 55.94% https://collective2.com/details/117442067
TOS 14 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $36,700 $22,800 -37.87% https://collective2.com/details/126923746
TOS 15 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $14,610 $15,367 5.18% https://collective2.com/details/124277653
IRA 1 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $416,000 $548,000 31.73% https://collective2.com/details/126054331
IRA 2 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $90,234 $146,700 62.58% https://collective2.com/details/123937705
IRA 3 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $22,000 $20,700 -5.91% https://collective2.com/details/106004078
IRA 4 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $48,000 $53,800 12.08% https://collective2.com/details/107529017
IRA 5 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $37,900 $63,700 68.07% https://collective2.com/details/117734561
IRA 6 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $30,567 $42,723 39.77% https://collective2.com/details/124994120
IRA 7 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $284,000 $327,000 15.14% https://collective2.com/details/77477692
IRA 8 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $26,575 $42,350 59.36% https://collective2.com/details/124978054
IRA 9 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $123,000 $179,000 45.53% https://collective2.com/details/123231599
IRA 10 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $14,610 $15,365 5.17% https://collective2.com/details/124277653
IRA 11 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $77,800 $77,300 -0.64% https://collective2.com/details/124343595
IRA 12 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $35,337 $71,980 103.70% https://collective2.com/details/120610209
IRA 13 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $59,109 $69,865 18.20% https://collective2.com/details/77331265
IRA 14 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $24,374 $38,000 55.90% https://collective2.com/details/105498828
IRA 15 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $77,600 $76,982 -0.80% https://collective2.com/details/104155140
C2 Star 1 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $49,355 $46,683 -5.41% https://collective2.com/details/128825624
C2 Star 2 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $45,454 $39,362 -13.40% future
C2 Star 3 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $48,800 $61,000 25.00% https://collective2.com/details/125624499
C2 Star 4 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $48,640 $96,700 98.81% https://collective2.com/details/130623196
C2 Star 5 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $41,700 $38,000 -8.87% ES Focus
C2 Star 6 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $49,615 $47,400 -4.46% https://collective2.com/details/130949672
C2 Star 7 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $45 $0 -100.00% https://collective2.com/details/127124102
C2 Star 8 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $47,000 $2,500 -94.68% https://collective2.com/details/126043352
C2 Star 9 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $50,600 $50,200 -0.79% https://collective2.com/details/130893898
C2 Star 10 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $45,000 $45,000 0.00% https://collective2.com/details/129227408
C2 Star 11 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $51,000 $45,000 -11.76% https://collective2.com/details/123458321
C2 Star 12 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $48,000 $52,000 8.33% https://collective2.com/details/130705804
C2 Star 13 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $50,211 $56,119 11.77% https://collective2.com/details/131030893
C2 Star 14 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $49,500 $47,620 -3.80% https://collective2.com/details/128042302
C2 Star 15 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $37,800 $42,300 11.90% https://collective2.com/details/130650608
Old Timers 1 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $95,700 $85,000 -11.18% https://collective2.com/details/106600099
Old Timers 2 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $80,132 $72,304 -9.77% https://collective2.com/details/106901765
Old Timers 3 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $22,205 $20,759 -6.51% https://collective2.com/details/106004078
Old Timers 4 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $604,000 $704,000 16.56% https://collective2.com/details/81877382
Old Timers 5 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $28,517 $30,250 6.08% https://collective2.com/details/104952602
Old Timers 6 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $48,099 $53,819 11.89% https://collective2.com/details/107529017
Old Timers 7 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $130,330 $181,880 39.55% https://collective2.com/details/111648302
Old Timers 8 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $151,000 $175,500 16.23% https://collective2.com/details/102427283
Old Timers 9 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $284,000 $327,000 15.14% https://collective2.com/details/77477692
Old Timers 10 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $287,000 $298,000 3.83% https://collective2.com/details/100314882
Old Timers 11 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $392,000 $247,777 -36.79% https://collective2.com/details/100707640
Old Timers 12 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $59,109 $69,414 17.43% https://collective2.com/details/77331265
Old Timers 13 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $173,000 $481,700 178.44% https://collective2.com/details/87581363
Old Timers 14 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $24,372 $38,040 56.08% https://collective2.com/details/105498828
Old Timers 15 9/12/2020 5/24/2021 $77,600 $77,000 -0.77% https://collective2.com/details/104155140
SPY 9/11/2020 5/24/2021 $334 $419 25.48% https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPY/history?
SPY w dividends 9/11/2020 5/24/2021 $330 $419 26.93% https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPY/history

Here is the table with a snapshot of the current 15 tops strategies in each category at this moment that I will manually check in a few months or later.

Board Category Order Start End Start $ End $ Return % Link to Strategy
Popularity 1 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/128265049
Popularity 2 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/132622706
Popularity 3 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/131967341
Popularity 4 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/125624499
Popularity 5 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/126454200
Popularity 6 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/132009577
Popularity 7 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/131561344
Popularity 8 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/133502610
Popularity 9 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/130453775
Popularity 10 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/124978054
Popularity 11 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/129373845
Popularity 12 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/132007449
Popularity 13 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/132148218
Popularity 14 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/132383133
Popularity 15 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/123231599
TOS 1 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/128265049
TOS 2 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/131561344
TOS 3 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/123937705
TOS 4 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/126548162
TOS 5 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/130576078
TOS 6 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/131612959
TOS 7 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/132146405
TOS 8 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/117442067
TOS 9 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/127924250
TOS 10 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/128022277
TOS 11 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/102427283
TOS 12 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/87581363
TOS 13 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/127841340
TOS 14 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/128415506
TOS 15 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/130482646
IRA 1 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/128265049
IRA 2 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/131561344
IRA 3 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/124978054
IRA 4 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/129373845
IRA 5 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/123231599
IRA 6 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/130018805
IRA 7 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/132165642
IRA 8 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/126444124
IRA 9 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/129134794
IRA 10 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/132385285
IRA 11 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/126548162
IRA 12 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/123007535
IRA 13 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/126054331
IRA 14 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/131972338
IRA 15 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/124994120
C2 Star 1 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/134255487
C2 Star 2 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/134255352
C2 Star 3 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/135324998
C2 Star 4 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/134255388
C2 Star 5 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/135204864
C2 Star 6 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/135662488
C2 Star 7 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/135117731
C2 Star 8 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/135656292
C2 Star 9 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/134260510
C2 Star 10 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/135638383
C2 Star 11 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/134370531
C2 Star 12 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/135282700
C2 Star 13 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/135662477
C2 Star 14 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/132920574
C2 Star 15 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/131741853
Old Timers 1 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/75800796
Old Timers 2 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/117442067
Old Timers 3 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/102427283
Old Timers 4 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/100314882
Old Timers 5 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/115424989
Old Timers 6 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/13202557
Old Timers 7 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/85633603
Old Timers 8 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/106901765
Old Timers 9 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/87581363
Old Timers 10 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/106600099
Old Timers 11 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/100707640
Old Timers 12 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/107529017
Old Timers 13 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/111648302
Old Timers 14 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/106187009
Old Timers 15 5/24/2021 TBD https://collective2.com/details/106804598
SPY 5/24/2021 TBD
SPY w dividends 5/24/2021 TBD
Board Category Order Start End
4 Likes

I just think this is extremely fascinating. I wish I had taken a snapshot of the TOS leaderboard on 6/16/2020 when I started this, but based on the 9/12/2021 to 5/24/2021 summary table It seems like it would have likely underperformed the market on a total return basis.

I donā€™t know what the right metric is to identify systems that will work well in markets like we had over the last year, but for some reason what was used on the popularity and C2 boards seems to be particularly not it.

5 Likes

Good analysis. You are doing a great job.

3 Likes